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What Happens to the Housing Market When the Economy Slows Down?

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There’s a lot of noise out there about what an economic slowdown could mean for the housing market. And if it leaves you feeling a little uneasy, you’re not alone. But here’s the thing.

If you’re worried about what a potential recession could mean for the value of your home, or your homebuying power, your trusted REMAX® agent is here to help set the record straight. You don’t have to fear the market when you understand what the data actually shows.

A Recession Doesn’t Automatically Mean Home Prices Will Fall

It’s easy to assume that if the economy slows down, home prices will fall. You might remember what happened in 2008. But the truth is: the housing crash of 2008 was an exception — not the rule.

It hadn’t happened before. And it hasn’t happened since. But what made 2008 so different? It was a flood of oversupply and very different lending standards. And everyone remembers how painful that time was. 

Today, lending is much tighter, and even with inventory rising, the overall number of homes for sale remains well below normal levels. That keeps upward pressure on prices — and it keeps prices from falling significantly on a national level. And while prices are moderating in some markets today, a significant crash is unlikely. 

In fact, according to data from Cotality, in four of the last six recessions, home prices actually went up (see graph below):

Don’t let fear of a recession make you assume prices are about to fall dramatically. 

And since prices usually follow the path they’re already on, in most markets they should rise, not fall, in the days ahead. The rise just may slower, or even flat, but certainly not a crash. 

Mortgage Rates Typically Decline During Recessions 

Another important pattern you should know? Mortgage rates usually fall when the economy slows down.

Looking at the data for the last six recessions, mortgage rates came down each time — helping boost buyer purchasing power, even during tougher economic periods (see graph below):

a graph of a graph showing the rate of mortgage ratesIf a recession does happen, history suggests you could see some relief in mortgage rates. However, it’s important to stay realistic. While a dip is possible, we’re unlikely to return to the ultra-low 3% rates seen in 2020 and 2021. 

Bottom Line

Economic shifts are part of the cycle, but they don’t have to derail your plans to buy or sell a home. Don’t let fear be the thing that keeps you from your next move.

Instead, lean on facts to guide your decisions. And your trusted REMAX agent is the perfect person to make sure you have the information you need to feel confident moving forward.

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Real Estate Tips & News

Here’s Where To Start if You’re Selling and Buying at the Same Time

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If you’re a homeowner getting ready to move, one question usually comes first: should you buy your next home before you sell, or sell your current house before you start looking?

There’s no single right answer. The best call depends on your finances, your local market, and your timeline. And a trusted agent can help you weigh all of it.

But in a lot of cases these days, selling first puts you in the stronger spot.

The Advantages of Selling First

Selling is usually the trickier half of a move today, so getting it done first clears your biggest hurdle. And that’s especially true right now, because there are more homes for sale than there are buyers, which means houses are taking longer to sell than they did a year or two ago.

So how does leading with your sale pay off? Let’s start with the money.

1. You Won’t Get Stuck Paying Two Mortgages

Buy before you sell, and you could end up carrying two mortgages at once. And especially since houses are staying on the market longer these days, that overlap may drag on for more time than you’d planned. And if unexpected repairs come up, it could get even more expensive.

Selling first takes that risk off the table, so you’re not multitasking homeownership. As Ramsey Solutions puts it:

It’s best to sell your old home before buying a new one to avoid unnecessary risks and possible headaches.

2. You Can Use Your Equity To Fuel Your Move

This is always true, but one of the biggest perks of selling first is that you’ll know exactly how much money you’re walking away with. And one of the big figures that matters in that conversation is how much equity you have in your current place.

Equity is basically your house’s value minus what you still owe on your mortgage. And it adds up fast. According to Realtor.com, homeowners who’ve been in their home for 5 years have about $180,000 in equity on average. And those who’ve had their home for 6-10 years? They have over $340,000.

After you sell, you can use that money to cover your down payment or even buy your next home in cash. And knowing that profit up front helps you plan your next move.

3. Your Offer Will Be Hard To Pass Up

When your house is already sold, you don’t have to make your offer contingent on that sale. In a market where buyers are taking their time, that’s exactly what a seller wants to see.

Picture it from the seller’s side. If their house has been sitting for a while, they’ll gravitate toward the offer most likely to close without a snag.

That can also give you room to ask for a little more, like repairs, since a motivated seller would rather keep things moving than lose you and wait for another offer to come in. Your agent can help you make the most of your upper hand in that scenario.

Is There a Catch?

Selling first has its tradeoffs too, and it helps to see the pros and cons side by side before you decide. Here’s a quick breakdown based on information from Zillow (see visual below):

a screenshot of a video game 

The cons are manageable with the right plan, so talk about them with your agent. They can help you negotiate things like a rent-back, where you stay in your house for a set time after closing, or line up flexible closing dates to keep the transition smooth.

Bottom Line

There’s no one-size-fits-all answer to buying and selling at once. But for a lot of homeowners, leading with the sale makes moving easier on their mind and their wallet.

Connect with a local agent, and they’ll help you navigate selling and buying with more confidence, more financial power, and less stress.

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Real Estate Tips & News

The Advice First-Time Homebuyers Need To Hear

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Buying your first home is a big milestone – and the right support is going to make it a whole lot easier.

Because while this process might be brand new to you, it’s not new to your agent. They’ve helped plenty of first-time buyers through it. They know what works, what actually matters, and how you can move through the process with a lot less guesswork.

Here are a few real-world tips based on that experience of helping other first-time buyers.

Tip #1: Get Pre-Approved First

Rocket Mortgage says this is one of the most common mistakes first-time buyers make. And it’s easy to see why. Looking at homes online is fun. But doing it before you know your numbers? That’s risky. You don’t want to fall in love with a house that’s way outside of your financial comfort zone. That’s a fast track for getting frustrated.

Instead, find your agent and talk to a lender early – before looking at any houses. With your lender’s help, you’ll be able to get pre-approved for your home loan. That’ll give you a better idea of what you’ll be able to borrow. And it helps you set a realistic budget. Then, your agent will be able to make you a customized list of homes, so you’re only seeing what’ll work for what you can spend. More clarity, less frustration.

Tip #2: Set a Budget and Stick To It

Remember, just because you can borrow up to a certain amount, chances are you won’t want to max that number out. It’s really important to avoid overextending your budget, especially in today’s market. Other housing expenses like home insurance, homeowners association (HOA) fees, and taxes are on the rise, and you need to factor those in. Bankrate offers this advice:

“When you’re building a budget to narrow your search for properties, don’t just think about how much house you can afford, but how much in recurring costs you can handle once you’ve purchased your home.”

So, lean on the pros for advice on expenses you may not be thinking of, so you can work them into your budget. 

Tip #3: Don’t Skip the Inspection 

When you find the right home, it’s easy to get caught up in the excitement. But skipping the inspection just to make your offer look stronger is a gamble that could cost you.

Instead, work with your agent to schedule a real inspection. They’ll connect you with local pros, make sure it’s booked, and help you understand the results so you can negotiate repairs or ask for money off at closing, if needed. It’s better to invest in this time up front to avoid what could be thousands in surprise repairs later.

Tip #4: Your First Home Doesn’t Have To Be Your Forever Home

For a lot of buyers, this is where unnecessary pressure creeps in. But remember, you don’t have to land your dream home right out of the gate. That’s why it’s called a starter home. It’s a starting point, not your final destination.

An agent will help you explore all your options, including ones you may not have thought about. For example, a well-kept condo, a townhouse in a great location, or a house with good bones can be a perfect first step into homeownership. The goal? Get in. Start building equity. Then, grow from there.

Bottom Line

Buying your first place is a big step, but it doesn’t have to feel like a step in the dark. Talk to an agent about where you’re starting from, what’s stressing you out (or holding you back), and what you actually need to know.

What’s one question you wish you could ask an expert right now?

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Real Estate Tips & News

Navigating Today’s Market

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Wondering how to make sense of today’s housing market? You’re not alone. A lot of people are asking what’s ahead for inventory, prices, the economy, and more. You deserve answers — and that’s where your trusted local REMAX® agent comes in.

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Copyright © 2020-2025 Mark Sincavage. All rights reserved.  
The information contained, and the opinions expressed, in these article are not intended to be construed as investment advice. Let's Talk Real Estate, Mark Sincavage, and Keeping Current Matters, Inc. do not guarantee or warrant the accuracy or completeness of the information or opinions contained herein. Nothing herein should be construed as investment advice. You should always conduct your own research and due diligence and obtain professional advice before making any investment decision. Let's Talk Real Estate, Mark Sincavage and Keeping Current Matters, Inc. will not be liable for any loss or damage caused by your reliance on the information or opinions contained herein.