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Economy

Why Today’s Foreclosure Numbers Aren’t a Warning Sign

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When it feels like the cost of just about everything is rising, it’s only natural to wonder what that means for the housing market. Some people are even questioning whether more homeowners will struggle to make their mortgage payments, ultimately leading to a wave of foreclosures. And recent data showing foreclosure filings have increased is only feeding into this fear. But don’t let that scare you.

If you put the latest data into context, it’s clear there’s no reason to think this is a repeat of the last housing crash.

This Isn’t Like 2008

While it’s true that foreclosure filings ticked up in the latest quarterly report from ATTOM, they’re still lower than the norm – and way below levels seen during the crash. And it’s a lot easier to see if you graph that out.

If you compare Q1 2025 (on the right side of the graph) to what happened in the years surrounding the 2008 crash (shown in red), it’s clear the market is in a completely different place (see graph below):

a graph of a graph of a number of falling downBack then, risky lending practices left homeowners with mortgages they couldn’t afford. That led to a wave of foreclosures, which flooded the market with distressed properties, a surplus of inventory, and caused home prices to drop dramatically.

Today, lending standards are much stronger, and most homeowners are in a much better financial position. That’s why filings are so much lower this time.

And just in case you’re looking at 2020 and 2021 and thinking we’ve ramped up since then, here’s what you need to know. During those years, there was a moratorium designed to help millions of homeowners avoid foreclosure in challenging times. That’s why the numbers for just a few years ago were so incredibly low.

So don’t compare today to that low point. If you look at more normal years like 2017-2019, overall foreclosure filings are actually down from what’s typical – and way down from the volume during the crash.

Of course, no one wants to go through the process of foreclosure. And the recent increase is emotional because it’s real lives that are impacted – let’s not discount that. It’s just that, as a whole, this isn’t a signal of trouble in the market.

Why We Haven’t Seen a Big Surge in Foreclosures

And here’s something else to reassure you: homeowner equity. Over the past few years, home prices have risen significantly. That means today’s homeowners have built up a solid financial cushion. As Rob Barber, CEO at ATTOM, explains:

“While levels remain below historical averages, the quarterly growth suggests that some homeowners may be starting to feel the pressure of ongoing economic challenges. However, strong home equity positions in many markets continue to help buffer against a more significant spike . . .”

Basically, if someone falls on hard times and can’t make their mortgage payments, they may be able to sell their home instead of going into foreclosure. That’s a huge contrast to 2008, when many people owed more than their homes were worth and had no choice but to walk away.

Don’t discount the strong equity footing most homeowners have today. As Rick Sharga Founder and CEO of CJ Patrick Company, explains in a recent Forbes article:

“ . . . a significant factor contributing to today’s comparatively low levels of foreclosure activity is that homeowners—including those in foreclosure—possess an unprecedented amount of home equity.”

Bottom Line

Even with the recent increase, foreclosure numbers are not at the levels seen during the 2008 crash. Plus, most homeowners today are in a much stronger equity position, even with rising costs.

If you are a homeowner who’s facing hardship, talk to your mortgage provider to explore your options.

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Economy

What Buying or Selling a Home Gives Back to Your Community

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Buying or selling a home is a big financial decision. And right now, it feels even bigger. Inflation is high, costs are high, and you want to be sure the timing is right before you make your move. 

But if you do decide to go for it, whether you’re buying or selling, here’s something reassuring to hold onto. Not only does your move change your own life, but it also gives your whole community a boost.

Real estate is a huge part of the economy. In 2025, it added up to about $5.6 trillion, according to the National Association of Realtors (NAR). A good share of that comes from everyday people buying and selling homes, just like you.

Your Move Puts Real Money Into the Local Economy

Every sale sends money flowing through your area. NAR data shows that buying an existing home (one that’s already been lived in) adds about $64,000 to the local economy. Buy a newly built home, and that number climbs to more than $134,000 (see graph below):

a diagram of a home sale

Over half of that comes from the work of building the home itself. The rest flows to real estate services, like agent and lender fees, plus what you spend settling in afterward, on things like furniture and remodeling.

And the money doesn’t stop there. As local businesses earn it, they spend it again in your area, so a single sale ripples further than the sale price alone.

One Sale Keeps a Lot of People Working

Behind every sale is a whole network of people doing their jobs. Contractors, lenders, inspectors, movers, and more. When you buy or sell, you help keep them busy. Lawrence Yun, Chief Economist at NAR, puts it this way:

Increased home sales mean more economic activity — lawn care, furniture purchases, moving services, mortgage originations and other related business activities all get a boost.

So, your move supports your neighbors’ livelihoods, too. The deal that gets you into your next home also helps a local crew make payroll. In a year when every paycheck counts, that’s no small thing.

Your Local Impact May Be Even Bigger

What your move financially adds to your community depends a lot on where you live. To help you see how it can vary, here’s a look at the impact of a typical newly built home sale by state.

The national average for a newly built home is about $134,000, but some states see far more (see map below):

a map of the united states

In California, a single sale adds more than $300,000 to the local economy. In Hawaii, it’s over $350,000. Even in the most affordable states, the number lands in the tens of thousands.

Want to know what a move would mean where you live? A local agent can show you the figure close to home.

Bottom Line

Moving is both a personal milestone and an investment in your community. So, if the time is right for you, connect with a local agent. You’ll make a difference for more people than you know.

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Economy

More Sellers Are Taking Their Homes off the Market. Here’s What You Need To Know.

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You may be hearing that a near-record number of homeowners are pulling their houses off the market. And if that headline has you thinking, “Wait… is something bad about to happen?” You’re not alone.

Because when people start stepping to the sidelines, it sounds like a warning sign that something’s coming – or that they realize something you don’t know.

Here’s the thing. This trend gets spun like it means the market is about to crash. But the data tells a more practical story.

What the Numbers Actually Say

According to the latest data from Redfin, 5.5% of all listings were taken off the market in May. And it’s true that’s almost the highest it’s been since back in March 2020 (see graph below): 

a graph showing the price of a home

That can sound scary. But a lot of the fear comes from how this story gets told. “A near record number of sellers are pulling their listings” makes a great clickbait headline – and that sort of thing spreads fast, especially online. But sellers pull a house off the market for plenty of reasons that have nothing to do with a crash.

Redfin points to four main forces driving this trend:

  • Homes are taking longer to sell. When the pace slows down, some sellers get frustrated and decide to hold off.

  • The number of homes for sale is rising faster than demand. That means buyers have more options. And sellers who don’t price or prep right may not get many eyes on their house.

  • Some sellers still have pandemic-era price expectations. A price that would’ve worked a couple years ago may not match what today’s buyers will pay.

  • Economic uncertainty is making both buyers and sellers cautious. Buyers pause. Sellers second-guess. And that has an impact on overall sales volume and pace.

Notice what’s missing from that list? There isn’t a single mention of an impending market crash or price collapse.

This is about a shifting pace, more competition, and sellers deciding how they want to respond.

One Detail Most Headlines Leave Out

Want more peace of mind that this isn’t a crash? This next stat delivers. Yes, more sellers are taking their homes off the market. But Redfin also shows something you’re not going to see in social posts…

The number of re-listings is growing too.  

While more sellers are pulling their listings, more are also deciding to give selling a second shot too. This is pretty much the highest re-listings have been since the pandemic hit.

While 5.5% got pulled in May, 2.3% were also put back on the market (see graph below):

a graph of sales and prices

That’s a signal sellers aren’t giving up or running away in large numbers.

Some are simply stepping away briefly before deciding to try again. That tells you this often isn’t a permanent decision. In many cases, it’s a pause – and the seller comes back with a different approach.

A lot of the time that change in the overall strategy is all that’s needed to finally get a house sold. 

And just in case you need more proof this isn’t a reason to worry, check this out. Buyer activity may be starting to pick back up – and that could bring more sellers back in or, at least, prevent some sellers from pulling back. 

The National Association of Realtors (NAR) reports existing home sales increased 3.2% in May. That’s the biggest increase since December. As the Wall Street Journal puts it: 

“Home sales in May posted the biggest rise this year, a sign that the housing market’s crucial spring selling season may be showing signs of life after a sluggish start.”

That doesn’t sound like a market in trouble.

Bottom Line

If you’re seeing headlines about how a record number of sellers are taking their homes off the market, don’t panic. It’s not a warning of an impending crash. It’s a market adjusting.

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Affordability

What Rising Inflation Means for Your Move

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Data shows inflation is moving in the wrong direction. But before the headlines send anyone into a panic, here’s what’s actually going on, why it matters for the housing market, and what it means if you’re thinking about buying or selling.

Inflation Went Up – Here’s What That Actually Means

The government tracks inflation in a variety of ways. One is something called PCE – the Personal Consumption Expenditures Price Index. It measures how much more (or less) people are paying for goods and services compared to a year ago. And just based on your own expenses, you can probably guess which way that’s trending.

That’s the one everyone is talking about right now. Check out the yellow line to see how that’s spiked since February (see graph below). A big driver of this jump is the ongoing conflict in the Middle East, which has pushed gas and energy prices significantly higher.

a graph with blue and yellow lines

Now, you may have noticed there’s a second line. The blue line shows core PCE. That’s the same measure, but with gas and energy prices stripped out. The Federal Reserve (the Fed) actually watches this number most closely because energy prices swing around a lot and can be misleading.

And here’s the somewhat encouraging part.

Core PCE is rising, but not nearly as fast as the overall number. That suggests a good chunk of the inflation spike we’re seeing right now is tied directly to what’s happening overseas. So, when that situation settles down, inflation may settle a bit, too.

Why This Matters for Mortgage Rates

Here’s the housing connection. When inflation is high, the Fed tends to keep the Federal Funds Rate elevated or even raise it to try to taper spending and cool inflation back down. And while it’s not a one-for-one relationship, that Federal Funds Rate can have an impact on your mortgage rate when you buy. 

Right now, based on the information we have, there’s roughly a 50/50 chance the Fed actually raises the Federal Funds Rate before the end of 2026, according to CME FedWatch (see graph below):

a graph of blue squares

While it’s too soon to say where this goes for certain and if we’re headed for a rate hike, it does mean mortgage rates are probably not coming down as soon as most people were hoping.

If you’ve been waiting for rates to drop significantly before making a move, this report is a reminder that “higher for longer” is still very much on the table. It really all depends on where the economy goes from here. According to Bankrate:

“Oil prices and bond yields have dropped a bit . . . but they’re still way up compared to the start of spring. Until there’s a resolution to the war, look for both inflation and mortgage rates to stay high.

But This Is Not 2008 – Not Even Close

Just remember, a tough economy does not equal a housing crash. The conditions today are very different from what led to the 2008 collapse. Here’s why:

  • Inventory is still relatively low. There’s no flood of homes hitting the market.

  • Most homeowners today have strong equity in their homes.

  • Lending standards are far stricter than they were before 2008.

  • Today’s challenge is affordability, not a wave of distressed underwater sellers.

Uncomfortable and unhealthy are not the same thing. The market feels hard right now, but “hard” and “crashing” are very different.

You Still Have Options. Here’s What To Do.

High rates don’t mean homeownership is out of reach. It just means the path looks a little different. There are real strategies that can help, depending on your situation:

  • Ask your lender about different loan options. Adjustable-rate mortgages (ARMs) or rate buydowns may help lower your monthly payment in the short term.

  • Explore first-time buyer programs, down payment assistance, or seller concessions that could help offset costs.

  • Stay in close touch with a trusted agent and lender. When rates shift, and they will, you’ll want to be ready to move fast.

The right strategy, tailored to your goals, matters a lot more than waiting for the perfect moment that may never come.

Bottom Line

Inflation is still above where the Fed wants it, and that means mortgage rates are likely to stay elevated for a while. But for people who need to move, strategy matters far more than trying to perfectly time the market.

Wondering what this means for your specific situation? Connect with a local agent or lender.

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Copyright © 2020-2025 Mark Sincavage. All rights reserved.  
The information contained, and the opinions expressed, in these article are not intended to be construed as investment advice. Let's Talk Real Estate, Mark Sincavage, and Keeping Current Matters, Inc. do not guarantee or warrant the accuracy or completeness of the information or opinions contained herein. Nothing herein should be construed as investment advice. You should always conduct your own research and due diligence and obtain professional advice before making any investment decision. Let's Talk Real Estate, Mark Sincavage and Keeping Current Matters, Inc. will not be liable for any loss or damage caused by your reliance on the information or opinions contained herein.