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Why More Homeowners Are Giving Up Their Low Mortgage Rate

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If you’re like a lot of homeowners, you’ve probably thought: “I’d like to move… but I don’t want to give up my 3% rate.” That’s fair. That rate has been one of your best financial wins – and it can be hard to let go. But here’s what you need to remember…

A great rate won’t make up for a home that no longer works for you. Life changes, and sometimes, your home needs to change with it. And you’re not the only one making that choice.

The Lock-In Effect Is Starting To Ease

Many homeowners have been frozen in place by something the experts call the lock-in effect. That’s when you won’t move because you don’t want to take on a higher rate on your next home loan. But data from Federal Housing Finance Agency (FHFA) shows the lock-in effect is slowly starting to ease for some people.

The share of homeowners with a mortgage rate below 3% (the yellow in the graph below) is slowly declining as more people move. And while some of the people with a rate over 6% are first-time buyers, the number of homeowners with a rate above 6% (the blue) is rising as others take on higher rates for their next home: 

a graph of a graph with text

And while it may not seem that dramatic, it’s actually a pretty noteworthy shift. The share of mortgages with a rate above 6% just hit a 10-year high (see graph below). That shows more people are getting used to today’s rates as the new normal.

Why Are More People Moving Now, if It Means Taking on a Higher Rate?

It’s simple. Sometimes they can’t put their life on pause anymore. Families grow, jobs change, priorities shift, and a house that once fit perfectly may not fit at all anymore – no matter how good their rate was. And that’s okay. As Chen Zhao, Head of Economic Research at Redfin, explains:

“More homeowners are deciding it’s worth moving even if it means giving up a lower mortgage rate. Life doesn’t standstill—people get new jobs, grow their families, downsize after retirement, or simply want to live in a different neighborhood. Those needs are starting to outweigh the financial benefit of clinging to a rock-bottom mortgage rate.”

First American refers to these life motivators as the 5 Ds:

  • Diplomas: People with college degrees typically earn more, and that adds up to more buying power. Maybe you bought your house when you were younger and now that you’ve graduated and have a rising career, you’re ready to move up.
  • Diapers: You’ve outgrown your space. If you’re welcoming a new baby, your current home might not be cutting it anymore.
  • Divorce: Whether it’s ending a marriage (or starting one), it can create the need for a new place to call home.
  • Downsizing: You’re ready to downsize. Maybe the kids have moved out and it’s time to simplify. Smaller house, less maintenance, more freedom.
  • Death: If you’ve recently lost a loved one, maybe you’ve realized you want to be closer to family. Life’s too short to live far from the people who matter most.

Whatever your reason, here’s what you need to think about. Yes, your low rate is great. But staying put means your life may stay on hold. And maybe that’s not working for you anymore.

According to Realtor.com, nearly 2 in 3 potential sellers have already been thinking about moving for over a year. That’s a long time to press pause on your plans. On your needs. On your family’s goals. So, maybe the question isn’t: “Should I move?”

It’s actually: “How much longer am I willing to stay somewhere that no longer fits my life?”

Because we’ve already seen rates come down from their peak earlier this year. And they’re expected to ease a bit more in 2026. When you stack that on top of the very real reasons you may need a new home, it may be enough to finally move the needle for you.

Bottom Line

Life doesn’t wait for the perfect rate. Maybe you shouldn’t either.

With mortgage rates down from their peak and forecast to dip slightly more in 2026, moving may be more feasible than you think. If you’re ready to see what’s possible in your market, connect with a local agent and lender.

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Agent Value

To Sell or Rent? How To Choose the Best Path for Your House.

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Selling your house is a big step, and you want it to go smoothly. And with houses taking a little longer to sell these days, renting it out might start to sound like a nice backup plan.

But the reality is, while renting can work well for some people, it’s also a big commitment. So before you decide, it helps to see the whole picture first.

Why Some Sellers Are Deciding To Rent Instead

Lately, some sellers are choosing to hang on to their houses and rent them out instead. According to Parcl, around 9% of homes for rent right now were previously up for sale. 

Here’s why. 

Some homeowners put their houses on the market expecting a faster process than they got or a certain price buyers didn’t respond to. And when things didn’t go exactly as planned, they decided to rent instead. As Kara Ng, Senior Economist at Zillow, explains:

“Bargaining power is tilting toward buyers and homes are taking longer to sell, making renting out a property one way to buy time rather than compete aggressively on price.”

But here’s the important distinction. Just because some sellers are choosing to rent doesn’t mean selling isn’t working. In many cases, the difference comes down to how well a house is priced, prepared, and marketed for today’s buyers. 

Parcl data shows where these “accidental landlords” – owners who planned to sell but decided to rent instead – are most common (see graph below):

a blue and yellow graph with white text

They make up around 17% of homes for rent in places like Sherman and Houston, TX, but less than 4% in markets like Des Moines, IA and Bloomington, IN. 

That’s a pretty big difference. And it shows why you have to know what’s happening in your neighborhood. Your market, your asking price, and your strategy all play a role in how your sale goes.

A local agent can show you how houses like yours are selling, what strategies work best, and help you weigh your options – not to push you to sell, but so you at least have the full picture based on today’s market. And part of making an informed decision is understanding what renting your house would actually take.

What Being a Landlord Actually Looks Like

While renting might sound like easy passive income on paper, in practice, it’s a hands-on job with rules to follow. As Invest West Management puts it:

“Even if you never intended to become a landlord, the law still sees you as one — and you must meet all legal obligations that come with that role. This often includes registering the tenancy, providing tenants with certain disclosures, and ensuring the property meets safety standards.”

You’d also be the one chasing missed rent payments, fixing damage between tenants, and covering unexpected repairs. Not to mention fielding weekend calls about leaky dishwashers or broken AC units. 

There are expenses beyond regular maintenance and repairs, too. According to Bankrate, these are a few of the biggest: 

  • Insurance premiums (landlord insurance typically costs about 25% more than a standard homeowners policy)

  • Management fees (if you hire a property manager, they usually charge around 10% of the rent) 

  • Gaps between tenants, when you pay the mortgage without rental income

How To Give Your House a Strong Start

If you want to be a landlord and you’re prepared for the responsibility, renting may be a great fit. But if you’d really rather sell, don’t let today’s market convince you that you can’t. 

A great agent can make it happen. The key is having an open conversation up front with your agent about pricing and how to market your house. Nailing those details from day 1 helps your house make a great first impression, so renting doesn’t have to be your fallback.

Bottom Line

Renting can be a good fit for the right person with the right house, but it isn’t the only option. A smart sales strategy can help your house stand out to buyers from day one.

So, if you’re on the fence, a local real estate agent can help you compare what selling and renting would each look like for you.

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Agent Value

Confused by Home Price Headlines? Here’s Why.

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Whether you own a house already or you’re looking to buy one, you probably care about home prices. But it’s not always easy to figure out what’s really happening right now, especially if you look at the headlines.

One says home prices are falling. The next says they’re still climbing.

So, which one’s right? It comes down to where you live.

What’s Really Going on with Asking Prices

Part of the confusion out there may be based on what’s happening to asking prices and how the media is talking about it. They’re calling attention to how asking prices are falling, but don’t give the full context or say that seasonality is at play. So here it is.

Right now, there are more homes on the market than at any other time since November 2019. And with mortgage rates rising since the spring, those homes are taking a little longer to sell. One way to help a home sell quickly in that environment is to have a lower asking price.

According to HousingWire Data, the median asking price is down from $449k in early August to $435k just 2 months later (see graph below):

a graph with green line

That’s a dip of about 3%, and a lot of it is normal for this time of year.

Asking prices cool off every fall once the busy summer season wraps up. With fewer buyers this time of year, sellers price a bit more competitively. Today’s rates play a role too, since sellers are pricing to match what buyers can afford right now. And that’s a good thing. Smart pricing helps homes sell.

Just keep in mind, that’s a national list price. It doesn’t show what homes near you are actually selling for. So before you react to a headline, ask a local agent what’s really happening in your area.

Where You Live Changes Everything

Realtor.com explains:

“While national headlines might suggest a buyer’s market is taking hold, the reality on the ground depends heavily on where and what you’re trying to buy. Local trends can diverge sharply from national averages, especially when you factor in price range, property type, and post-pandemic market dynamics.”

The latest numbers from S&P Cotality Case-Shiller Index show how true that is. Over the past year, sales prices in Chicago rose almost 7%. In Seattle, they dipped about 1.6%. That’s a gap of nearly 9 percentage points between two major cities (see graph below):

a graph of a price

That gap changes your game plan. Selling in New York, where prices are up almost 6%? You may not need to cut your price. Buying in Denver or Las Vegas? You may have more room to negotiate.

Why You Don’t Need To Worry About a Crash

Just in case you’re seeing those slight declines in some markets and worried it means a bigger crash is coming, here’s what you need to remember. Even in the major metros where prices are down, the declines are 2% or less. That’s a long way from a crash like 2008. And if you look back at the graph above, there are more cities in the green than in the red.

And over time, home values have a strong track record. The Federal Housing Finance Agency (FHFA) says national prices have grown year-over-year every quarter since 2012. Go back further, and a $100k home bought in 1991 would be worth about $436k today, even with the 2008 crash factored in (see graph below):

a graph with a line going up

So, this short-term dip probably won’t stick around. The small declines we’re seeing now are in markets that overheated during the pandemic. As a whole, the market is headed back to normal – and normal means prices should rise over time.

Bottom Line

National headlines can’t tell you what your home is worth or how much room you have to negotiate. Local data can. If you’re thinking about buying or selling, connect with a local real estate agent to look at how prices are moving in your area, so you can set your price or make your offer with confidence.

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For Sellers

Homes Are Still Selling – Even in a Slower Market

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If you’ve seen headlines saying home sales are slowing down, you may be wondering: is this really a good time to sell?

While the latest numbers show sales picked up slightly in September, they’re still down compared to last year. But here’s the perspective the headlines can miss.

Homes are still selling every single day. Because no matter what’s happening with mortgage rates or the economy, life keeps happening too. People get new jobs. Families grow. Relationships change. People retire, downsize, or need to move closer to the people they love. 

And those life changes create buyers and sellers in every market.

Just Look at the Math

According to the National Association of Realtors (NAR), based on the current pace homeowners are expected to sell almost 4 million homes this year. Break that down, and that’s roughly:

  • 11,000 homes every day.

  • 450 homes every hour.

  • 8 homes every minute.

So, yes, the market may be moving at a slower pace than it has at other points in time. But slower doesn’t mean it’s stopped. As Hannah Jones, Senior Economic Research Analyst at Realtor.com, says:

“Even in today’s high-price, high-rate market, homebuying activity around major life events, such as having kids, a job change, or a divorce, keeps the market in motion.”

Thousands of buyers are still making moves every day. The key is making sure your house is positioned to get their attention.

What That Means for Your Sale

Today’s buyers have more choices, so they can afford to be more selective about things like price and condition. That makes having the right strategy from the start especially important.

Because you don’t need every buyer to be looking for a home like yours. You just need the right one – and to know how to get in front of that buyer.

Bottom Line

Don’t let a headline about slowing home sales convince you no one is buying. Homes are still selling every minute of every day.

If you need or want to move, talk to an agent about what it’ll take to make sure yours is one of them.

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Copyright © 2020-2025 Mark Sincavage. All rights reserved.  
The information contained, and the opinions expressed, in these article are not intended to be construed as investment advice. Let's Talk Real Estate, Mark Sincavage, and Keeping Current Matters, Inc. do not guarantee or warrant the accuracy or completeness of the information or opinions contained herein. Nothing herein should be construed as investment advice. You should always conduct your own research and due diligence and obtain professional advice before making any investment decision. Let's Talk Real Estate, Mark Sincavage and Keeping Current Matters, Inc. will not be liable for any loss or damage caused by your reliance on the information or opinions contained herein.