Mortgage rates being back above 7% isn’t exactly the news most people wanted. But it’s changing the market in ways that matter whether you’re buying or selling.

The number of homes for sale is growing faster than it was this time last year. And interestingly, the main reason isn’t a flood of new listings. It’s because homes aren’t selling as quickly.

Here’s why – and what that means if you’re thinking about buying or selling.

Inventory Growth Is Picking Up Steam

According to HousingWire Data, after inventory growth slowed down for most of the past year, it’s accelerated again in recent weeks. You can see that in the graph below. Just look at the blue line:

And what’s behind this shift might surprise you.

When rates rise, some buyers hit pause. That means fewer homes sell each week. And as those unsold homes stay on the market alongside new listings, the number available starts to grow (see the blue line in the graph below).

Here’s another way to look at it to make it even more obvious. The graph below shows the relationship between rates and inventory. Again, this year is the blue line. Last year? That’s the green.

With rates inching up this year, you can see inventory has grown by about 25k. But when rates went down this time last year, buyers jumped back in, and inventory actually dropped by about 9k.

Logan Mohtashami, Lead Analyst at HousingWire, explains how that’s flipped from 2025 to 2026:

“With mortgage rates over 7%, demand tends to soften and inventory rises . . .”

Homes Are Spending More Time on the Market

Here’s another metric that shows the impact rates are having: time on market. Data from Realtor.com shows the typical home spent 61 days on the market this September. Back in September 2021, it was just 41 days (see graph below):

Here’s what that tells us. In 2021, when rates were low, more buyers were active, and homes sold fast. But now that rates are a bit higher, not as many buyers are interested, so it takes a bit longer to close a deal.

How To Make This Market Work for You

So, what does all of this mean for your plans? That depends on which side of the move you’re on:

If you’re buying, more homes for sale means more choices and less pressure to rush. And more room to negotiate too. A house that’s been sitting for a while could have a seller who’s more willing to talk – not just about price, but repairs, closing costs, or even helping buy down your mortgage rate.

That doesn’t mean every seller will play ball. But compared to the frenzy of a few years ago, buyers have more leverage now.

If you’re selling, the right strategy can make all the difference. Buyers have more homes to choose from, so making yours stand out is especially important. That starts with pricing it right from day one, making a great first impression, and working with your agent to highlight what makes your house worth choosing. Buyers are still buying and homes are still selling. The key is making sure yours is positioned to attract the right buyer.

The market hasn’t stopped. It’s just moving at a different pace. And whether you’re buying or selling, your strategy needs to move with it.

Bottom Line

In many places right now, inventory is growing and homes are taking a bit longer to sell. And that’s information that should shape the strategy you use going in.

Whether you’re buying or selling, connect with a local real estate agent to look at how long homes are taking to sell in your neighborhood, so your offer, or your price, fits today’s market.

You’ve probably heard the Federal Reserve (the Fed) is raising rates again. And if you’re planning to buy or sell a house, you may be wondering what that means for you.

With all the headlines, it’s easy to think the Fed sets mortgage rates. That’s actually a common myth. But the Fed’s decisions can still have an impact on them.

So, where does that leave you? The next few months could get a little bumpy. But the Fed is playing the long game. And with the right plan, you can still make a move that works. Let’s break it down.

Why the Fed Is Raising Rates

It all comes back to inflation. With prices rising fast, everything is getting more expensive – and that leaves buyers with less spending power and makes homes cost more to build.

So, the Fed raises its key short-term rate (the Federal Funds Rate) to slow down inflation. And that’s where a lot of people get tripped up.

• MYTH: The Fed controls mortgage rates.

• REALITY: The Fed has an impact on mortgage rates, but it’s only one piece of the puzzle.

As NerdWallet explains:

“The Federal Reserve influences mortgage rates, but doesn’t set them. . . Mortgage rates are influenced by many elements, including the inflation rate, the pace of job creation, and whether the economy is growing or shrinking. The Federal Reserve’s monetary policy is a factor, too . . .”

Here’s the simplest way to explain how it all fits together. Mortgage rates tend to follow something called the 10-year treasury yield. That’s the return investors get for lending money to the government for 10 years. And that yield moves up and down based on what investors expect from inflation and the economy.

Right now, one of the biggest things moving that yield is the conflict in Iran. It’s pushed oil prices higher, which has investors worried about inflation. That’s why any news about the conflict can move mortgage rates. If there’s resolution in Iran, that could take some pressure off inflation and mortgage rates. But the timing is hard to predict.

What the Fed does can move that yield, too. When they hike the Federal Funds Rate to fight inflation, investors pay attention. That can push the 10-year yield up, and mortgage rates usually follow. But once inflation cools, the yield has room to come back down, and mortgage rates can, too. That gives buyers some of their purchasing power back (see graphic below):

Think of it as a little pain today to set up some relief down the road. But how long could that short-term pain last? A lot depends on what the Fed does next.

There’s a Strong Possibility the Fed Will Hike Again This Year

According to CME FedWatch, there’s over an 80% chance the Fed hikes their federal funds rate at least once more before the end of 2026 (see graph below):

Remember, the Fed doesn’t set mortgage rates. But another hike will likely keep upward pressure on them in the short term. So, should you wait it out? Sam Williamson, Senior Economist at First American, says this:

“Over time, firmer Fed action could help steady the bond market and open the door to lower mortgage rates, but only if investors become more confident that inflation is coming under control.“

And there are some early signs that’s starting to happen. Inflation cooled faster than experts expected in August:

• PCE inflation dropped to 3.4%, down from 3.7% in July.

• Core PCE (the Fed’s preferred measure which leaves out food and energy prices) fell to 3%, down from 3.3%.

That’s a step in the right direction, and it’s part of why the odds of a hike at the Fed’s October meeting have come down recently. But inflation’s still above the Fed’s 2% target, and it’s been that way for about 5 years. So, lower rates could still take a while. Your best bet is a plan that works at today’s rates.

How To Make Your Move Work Right Now

While this rate hike cycle isn’t the headline you want to see, it doesn’t mean you have to wait. There are still ways to move, even now.

• If you’re buying: Get pre-approved so you know your real budget. Ask your lender about your options to get the best rate possible. And once you’re under contract, lock your rate so a jump before closing doesn’t raise your payment.

• If you’re selling: Decide what matters most to you – a quick sale or top dollar. Each one can call for a different plan. Price for today’s buyers, whose budgets are smaller with higher rates. And think about offering a rate buydown or other concession. They can do more for a buyer’s budget than a price cut.

Bottom Line

The Fed doesn’t set mortgage rates, but its hikes can keep them higher for a while. The goal is to bring inflation, and eventually rates, down over time. With more hikes likely this year, waiting may not pay off. So, connect with a local real estate agent to map out a plan that works at today’s rates.

For a lot of first-time buyers, owning a home can feel perpetually a few years out of reach. Saving for a down payment takes time, and each year you spend renting can make owning feel further off.

But buying your first home doesn’t have to happen to feel like a far away goal. Two choices you control can bring your first home years closer, even with affordability as tight as it is right now.

How Long Buying Really Takes

First, one quick definition. “Breaking even” is the point where owning has cost you about the same as renting would have over the same period. And after that point, owning starts to cost less than renting. Kara Ng, Senior Economist at Zillow, puts it this way:

“Buyers should think about not just when they can afford to buy, but how long they’d need to stay before owning makes more financial sense than renting.“

So how long does reaching that point usually take? And what are the shortcuts? Let’s do the math.

According to Zillow, it usually takes about 8.5 years to save for a 20% down payment, then roughly 6.2 more years before owning costs the same as renting. Together, that’s just under 15 years. But that math relies on two assumptions: that you’re buying a mid-priced home, and that you’re putting 20% down. 

Change either one and your timeline gets shorter. Change both and it can shrink fast. It also varies widely by market, since local prices and rents are different depending on where you live. 

A Starter Home Can Get You There Twice as Fast

A starter home usually means a home in the lower third of local prices. They’re often condos, townhomes, or single-family homes a little smaller or older than others in the area. 

Choosing one over a mid-priced home can cut your wait down by a lot. And while that might sound obvious, you may not realize just how much it shortens your timeline. Because if you’re buying a more affordable home, you don’t have to save up as much or as long.

Zillow found that nationwide, a starter home takes half the time – about 7.2 years – to save for and come out ahead on, compared with renting (see graph below):

That works out to about 4.6 years to save and 2.6 years to break even. It won’t erase every affordability challenge, but it can take years off the wait. And if you’ve already been saving for a while, it could get you closer to making it a reality.

You Usually Don’t Need To Put 20% Down

You, like many first-time homebuyers, might assume you need a 20% down payment to even consider buying. But a lot of the time, you don’t. 

Most first-time buyers don’t put down anywhere near that. The National Association of Realtors shows the median down payment for first-time buyers is 10% (see graph below):

And the minimums go lower still. Some buyers put down as little as 3% on a conventional loan or 3.5% on an FHA loan, and eligible veterans or buyers in certain rural areas can put down nothing at all.

There’s help with the upfront costs of buying, too. Down Payment Resource counts 2,746 assistance programs nationwide, and some are even stackable:

“Some homebuyers can layer multiple sources of assistance to reduce their upfront costs. Layering means combining more than one eligible source of funding as part of your home purchase.”

Put those together – a lower price point, a smaller down payment, and help covering it – and the years you thought you needed start to come down.

Bottom Line

Your first home may not be as far off as it feels. When the numbers make sense for you, buying a starter home and putting down less than 20% can get you there years sooner. 

Want to see which starter homes in your area could fit your budget? A local real estate agent can show you.