You’ve probably seen the headlines saying, “foreclosures are on the rise,” and maybe your mind jumped straight to 2008. That’s understandable. A lot of people remember that crash and all the foreclosures that happened during that window, and they’re hoping something like that never happens again. 

But this isn’t a repeat of what happened back then. Here’s the context to prove it.

Foreclosures Are Rising, But They’re Still Historically Low

Yes, foreclosure filings are up 26% from a year ago, according to ATTOM. And they’ve been rising for 5 straight quarters. That’s a real trend worth paying attention to. But the full picture isn’t scary like the headlines suggest.

The reality is the increase we’re seeing is a sign of the market normalizing.

Here’s an important thing to know about this chart. The extremely low numbers you see in 2020 and 2021 don’t represent what’s “normal.” That’s when the government put a moratorium on foreclosures to help homeowners get through the pandemic. Those years were an exception, not the baseline.

Instead, compare where we are today to 2017, 2018, and 2019 – the last years the market was running normally. Today’s numbers are still lower. So, we’re not even back to what’s typical, yet. That means this can’t be a crash. (see graph below):

While today’s numbers are getting closer to pre-pandemic levels, they’re still below historical norms. And just look at what was happening around 2008. Even with the recent increase, we’re nowhere near those levels. This is a market returning to normal, not heading toward a crisis.

Why Today’s Equity Picture Changes Everything

Most of those filings won’t even end in a completed foreclosure. That’s because today’s homeowners have something most people in 2008 simply didn’t have. And that’s equity.

The average homeowner today is sitting on roughly $295,000 in home equity right now, according to Cotality. Back in 2008, many people owed more than their homes were worth. Selling wasn’t an option. And foreclosure was often the only door available.

Today, that’s not the case. If you have enough equity to cover what you owe and the cost of selling, you could sell your home, pay off your debt, protect your credit, and potentially walk away with money in your pocket.

That’s a completely different situation than what homeowners faced during the last crash, and it’s a big reason we’re unlikely to see foreclosures spiral the way they did back then.

Check out the graph below. It shows foreclosure data from ATTOM going back to 2005. Here’s how to read it:

• The yellow line tracks all foreclosure filings.
• The orange line tracks foreclosure starts, meaning the process has officially begun.
• And the red line at the bottom tracks completed foreclosures (the ones where a homeowner actually lost their home).

See how the red line stays well below the other two? That gap tells the real story. A lot of homeowners who enter the foreclosure process never end up losing their home because they find another way forward first.

Today’s equity is a big reason for that. So, even the filings we are seeing now won’t all end in foreclosure.

If You’re Struggling, You Have More Options Than You Think

Maybe you’re behind on payments. Maybe you’re stressed about what comes next. That’s an incredibly hard place to be, but it’s important to know that missing a payment or two doesn’t automatically mean you’ll lose your home.

Banks would much rather work with you than foreclose. It’s a complicated, costly process for them, too. They’re often willing to set up a repayment plan, offer forbearance (a temporary pause or reduction in your payments), or modify your loan to make things more manageable long-term.

Just know the sooner you reach out to your lender, the more options you’ll have. In some states (ones that don’t require the foreclosure process to go through a court) things can move faster than people expect. Getting ahead of it early gives you and your lender the most room to find a solution. 

And if selling makes more sense for your situation, a real estate agent can help you understand what your home is worth and whether that’s a path worth exploring.

Bottom Line

Foreclosure filings may be rising, but they’re still low. And the equity most homeowners are sitting on today is a key reason this looks nothing like 2008.

Foreclosures are ticking up. And that may make your mind jump straight to thoughts of 2008 – specifically to what happened to the market during the housing crash. So, let’s do exactly what your brain already wants to do, and see if there’s any connection there.

The simple truth is foreclosure filings are rising. But they’re nowhere near crisis levels. And that’s not where they’re headed either. Here’s why.

Take a look at serious delinquencies – loans where the homeowner is more than 90 days late on their mortgage payments.

While those have increased slightly, data from the New York Fed shows they still remain low. And they aren’t anywhere close to levels seen when the market crashed (see graph below):

Right now, about 1% of mortgages are seriously delinquent. That’s only 1 in 100.

In the years around the crash, they were up around 9%. That’s 1 in 11.

That’s a big difference.

And it’s important to remember not all delinquencies even become foreclosure filings. Some homeowners who are falling behind will work out repayment plans with their banks and lenders because banks don’t want to see a wave of foreclosures either.

That’s why foreclosure numbers are even lower than delinquencies. ATTOM shows only 0.3% of all homes are currently going through a foreclosure filing. And those won’t even all go to a full foreclosure. That’s not a wave. That’s a ripple at most.

If People Are Falling Behind on Payments, Why Aren’t There Even More Foreclosures?

And maybe you’re wondering, if people are struggling financially, why aren’t there more foreclosures? Here’s the easiest way to answer that.

When households feel financial pressure, they tend to prioritize their mortgage payment above almost everything else. Because the last thing they want to lose is their home.

Data from the New York Fed shows serious delinquencies have risen more for credit cards and auto loans (the blue and green lines). But mortgage delinquencies and home equity lines of credit (borrowing against the value of your home) aren’t seeing the same big uptick (the yellow and orange lines). They’re a lot more stable overall.

In other words, people may fall behind on other debts, but they fight hard to keep their homes. And, in today’s housing market, they’re also in a strong equity position to do so.

Home Equity Changes Everything

Many people have built significant equity over the past several years. And that creates options. As Daren Blomquist, VP of Market Economics at Auction.com, explains:

“Distressed homeowners… many times they still have equity in their homes. There’s an opportunity for them to sell that home, avoid foreclosure, and walk away with equity.”

That’s a major difference from 2008. Back then, many homeowners owed more than their homes were worth. And selling wasn’t an easy solution. Today, for many people, it is. And even in situations where equity isn’t enough, homeowners are encouraged to contact their loan servicer early to explore alternatives to foreclosure.

Bottom Line

Are foreclosure filings rising slightly? Yes. Are they anywhere near crash territory? No. And homeowners today have far more equity and flexibility than they did during the crash.

If you’re concerned about what you’re seeing in the headlines, the best move isn’t panic, it’s perspective. And the data right now says this isn’t 2008 all over again.

If you’ve seen headlines saying foreclosure activity has been climbing for 10 straight months, it’s easy to assume that’s a sign of trouble for the housing market. But when you look at the full picture, a few simple truths become clear:

• Today’s foreclosure numbers are in line with what’s considered normal
• High home equity is keeping most homeowners in a strong financial position
• None of the data points to a big wave of distressed sales that’ll crash the market

Foreclosure Filings Are Up 32%, But That Doesn’t Mean the Market’s in Trouble

If you peel the layers all the way back, what everyone is actually worried about is that we’re headed for a repeat of what happened in 2008. Back then, riskier lending practices and an oversupply of homes for sale brought home prices down and led to a significant increase in foreclosures. A lot of people felt the impact. But this isn’t the same situation.

Yes, ATTOM data shows foreclosure filings are up 32% year-over-year. And that increase is going to sound dramatic. But context matters, and it doesn’t mean we’re headed for another crash. And the numbers prove it. Take a look at where we were during the last crash (the red in the graph below). And where we are now (the blue):

Even with the uptick lately, we are still nowhere near crash levels – far from it. This isn’t a return to crisis levels. What it is, is a return to normal.

The graph below shows foreclosure filings going all the way back to early 2005. The lead up to, and the aftermath of, the crash is there in red. Those are the years when foreclosure filings went above the 1 million mark each year.

Now, look at the right side and scan back to the 2017–2019 range (the last truly normal years for housing). You’ll see we’re actually just starting to fall back in line with what’s typical for the market, even with the increase lately:

Rob Barber, CEO at ATTOM, explains it well:

“Foreclosure activity increased in 2025, reflecting a continued normalization of the housing market following several years of historically low levels . . . While filings, starts, and repossessions all rose compared to 2024, foreclosure activity remains well below pre-pandemic norms and a fraction of what we saw during the last housing crisis . . . today’s uptick is being driven more by market recalibration than widespread homeowner distress, with strong equity positions and more disciplined lending continuing to limit risk.”

The word “normalization” in that quote is extra important. While economic and financial pressures are putting a strain on some homeowners, this isn’t a flood of distressed homes. No matter what the headlines may have you believe, this isn’t a large-scale crisis.

Today’s increase isn’t a sign of trouble. It’s a return to normal.

Why This Isn’t a Repeat of 2008

Even though the last housing crash still shapes how a lot of people interpret today’s news, the reality is, this is a different market:

• Lending standards are stronger
• Borrowers are more qualified
• And homeowners have far more equity

And that equity piece is especially important. Over the last five years, home prices have risen significantly. For many people, their house is worth far more than they paid for it. That means most homeowners have a strong financial cushion to fall back on, if needed.

Basically, if someone faces hardship today, they often have the option to sell, and maybe even walk away with money in their pocket, instead of going through foreclosure. That’s a major contrast to 2008, when many homeowners owed more than their home was worth. 

Bottom Line

Foreclosure activity may be rising, but it’s still well within a normal range – and nowhere close to the danger zones of the past. But the headlines are doing more to terrify than clarify. And that’s exactly why having a trusted real estate expert you can call on is so important.

When you hear something in the news or see something on social about housing that worries you, reach out to a local agent. An expert will have the context needed to explain what’s really happening and how it impacts you (if at all).