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Three Things to Understand About Unemployment Statistics

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Tomorrow morning the Bureau of Labor Statistics will release the latest Employment Situation Summary, which will include the most current unemployment rate. It will be a horrific number. Many analysts believe unemployment could be greater than 20%. These numbers represent families across the nation that are not sure when (or if) they will return to work. The emotional impact on these households is devastating.

There are, however, some small rays of light shining through on this issue. Here are three:

1. The actual number of unemployed is less than many are reporting

The number of people unemployed is sometimes over-exaggerated. It seems that every newscaster talks about the 40+ million people “currently” unemployed. It is true that, over the last ten weeks, over 40.7 million people have applied for unemployment. It is also true, however, that many of those people have already returned to work or gotten a new job. The actual number of people currently unemployed is 21.1 million. This is still a horrible number, but about half of what is often being reported.Three Things to Understand About Unemployment Statistics | Simplifying The Market

2. Of those still unemployed, most are temporary layoffs

Last month’s unemployment report showed that 90% of those unemployed believe their status is temporary. Friday’s report will probably show a decline in that percentage as the original number was somewhat optimistic. However, a recent survey by the Federal Reserve Bank showed that employers believe over 75% of job losses are temporary layoffs and furloughs. This means 3 out of 4 people should be returning to work as the economy continues to recover.

3. Those on unemployment are receiving assistance

According to a recent study from the Becker Friedman Institute for Economics at the University of Chicago, 68% of those who are eligible for unemployment insurance receive benefits that exceed lost earnings, with 20% receiving benefits at least twice as large as their lost earnings.

Bottom Line

Tomorrow’s report will be difficult to digest. However, as the nation continues to reopen, many of those families who are impacted will be able to return to work.

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Mark Sincavage

Mark Sincavage is a seasoned real estate professional with a proven track record of success. Holding real estate licenses in New Jersey and South Carolina, and previously in New York, Mark's career has been marked by remarkable achievements. Since 2010, he has facilitated real estate transactions totaling over $350 million. Mark currently operates as a valuable resource for clients, providing real estate referral services through the Coldwell Banker Realty Referral Network. With an extensive network of real estate agents—locally, nationally and globally, a wealth of knowledge, and a rich tapestry of experiences, Mark has established himself as the go-to partner for successful real estate transactions. His dedication to professional growth and excellence is evident through his prestigious credentials, which include Seller Representative Specialist (SRS), Seniors Real Estate Specialist (SRES), Short Sale and Foreclosure Resource (SFR), and Resort & Second Home Property Specialist (RSPS). When the time comes to embark on a residential real estate journey, Mark Sincavage stands ready to offer his expertise and guidance, ensuring a smooth and successful experience for all his clients.